Geeks and Baseball
With the baseball season in full swing, it's time to remember
how geeks and technology have transformed the game of baseball 토토사이트. Over the past
three decades, the internet, medical advances, and the globalization media have
fundamentally transformed how fans consume baseball and how ballplayers play
America's pastime. Below is a survey of some of the ways technology has
effected baseball, and some ideas on how some new technologies will continue to
affect baseball.
Baseball, Technology, and Fans
1. Video Games
From the beginning, video games have attempted to replicate
baseball. In 1971, Don Daglow at Pomona College wrote ''Baseball.'' During the
early 1980s, Atari and Mattel also released baseball video games. In 1983,
Mattel released Intellivision ''World Series Baseball.'' For the first time,
players of ''World Series Baseball'' could use multiple camera angles to show
the action. A gamer could see the batter from a modified "center
field" camera, see baserunners in corner insets, and view defensive plays
from a camera behind home plate. ''World Series Baseball'' also integrated fly
balls into their interface.
In 1988, baseball video games made another jump, when
Electronic Arts (EA) released ''Earl Weaver Baseball'', which added an actual
baseball manager provided run by artificial intelligence. The important of
''Earl Weaver Baseball'' was acknowledged by Computer Gaming World in 1996 when
it named ''Earl Weaver Baseball'' 25th on its list of the Best 150 Games of All
Time. This was the second highest ranking for any sports game in that 1981-1996
period behind FPS Sports Football.
Nintendo also hit a homerun, in 1988 when it released ''RBI
Baseball.'' RBI was the first video game to be licensed through the Major
League Baseball Players Association. The game contained authentic major league
players and rosters, and not surprisingly was a huge hit with players.
Twenty years after the first baseball video game, ''Tony La
Russa Baseball'' appeared on shelves across the country. The game made
significant advancements in baseball game play. First, ''La Russa'' included a
circular Fly Ball Cursor that appeared where the ball was going to land, and
grew or diminished in size based on the height of the ball. If the wind was
blowing the cursor would move its location to reflect the changing course of
the ball. The Fly Ball Cursor introduced real fly balls and pop-ups to computer
baseball games, eliminating the last segment of the sport that had never been
simulated accurately. Second, ''La Russa'' allowed users to conduct drafts and
set up their own leagues, all with access to the game's comprehensive player
statistics. Third, ''La Russa'' was the first baseball game to offer accurate
stats for each individual pitcher against each individual hitter, data that
actual managers use extensively in the dugout. In contrast to many sports
celebrities who merely lent their names to games, Tony La Russa spent extensive
sessions over a period of years working to make the game's artificial
intelligence as accurate as possible.
The quality of baseball games has continued to develop since
''La Russa.'' The development of EA's ''MVP Baseball'', Sony's ''MLB The
Show'', Out of the Park Developments' text-based simulation ''Out of the Park
Baseball'', and the and growth of gaming systems (from Genesis to XBox360) has
transformed the depth and reality of baseball games. Even players themselves
admit to using them prepare for games. According to an FHM article written by
2004 AL Cy Young Winner Johan Santana (April 2006 pg. 113), "I can see the
hitting zones of each player and statistically where he doesn't like the ball.
I can also get a feel for when he will swing at fastballs and when he may not
expect a change-up. I wouldn't say that I would pitch to a guy in a real-life
game the same way, but it gives you ideas of how to approach certain
hitters."
2. Internet Fantasy Baseball
Hate it (girlfriends, wives) or love it (practically every
baseball fan), fantasy baseball has become as popular as the sport itself. Once
regulated to stat junkies who painfully calculated and managed everything on
their own, the expansion of the internet has allowed millions of fans to
participate in leagues with friends and other fans throughout the country. This
couldn't possibly affect the actual sport itself right? Wrong. Fantasy Baseball
has a huge impact on fan interest. Did your team throw in the towel mid-season,
or currently in an unwatchable rebuilding year? That's OK. You can still follow
your fantasy team and can continue to watch games involving your players via
the MLB Baseball Cable Package. Major League Baseball is a product, and
anything that allows your customers to constantly read, write, and talk (thus
promoting) about your product in a passionate way becomes important.
Fantasy baseball would not have becomes popular without
technology. Computers and the internet ushered in this sports revolution. The
advent of powerful computers and the Internet revolutionized fantasy baseball,
allowing scoring to be done entirely by computer, and allowing leagues to develop
their own scoring system, often based on less popular statistics. In this way,
fantasy baseball has become a sort of in-time simulation of baseball, and
allowed many fans to develop a more sophisticated understanding of how the
real-world game works.
According to a recent Fortune article, the "American
male's obsession with sports is nothing new, but try this on for size: More
than half of fantasy sports fanatics spend over an hour a day just thinking
about their teams." Fantasy baseball is a ''billion dollar industry.''
However, Much like the RIAA and MPAA, Major League Baseball is putting clamps
on the fantasy technology that fueled professional baseball's rebirth after the
1996 strike. MLB has decided to dramatically restructure how it licenses companies
that run fantasy games on the Web. Official licensees will now likely be
restricted to a Big Three of ESPN, CBS Sportsline, and Yahoo! (some reports add
AOL and The Sporting News as well). "Mom and pop" shops that helped
usher the fantasy baseball phenomenon into existence will be severely limited
by the licensing deal. They will only be allowed information to service 5,000
customers apiece. Everyone else using baseball statistics to run small fantasy
leagues will have to choose between scaling back their operations, closing up
shop, or receiving a visit from MLB's lawyers.
3. User Created Media
Before the internet, media creation was limited to
professionals. Newspapers, radio, television, and niche sports magazines like
Sports Illustrated possessed a virtual stranglehold over the dissemination of
sports news and information.
The first user created sports media occurred with the advent
of Sports Talk radio. An extension of talk radio, which has existed since the
1940s, sports talk radio took off in the early 1980s. Today, over 30 major
sports talk radio stations exist throughout the country. Sports talk radio
provided fans a soapbox to voice their complaints, thoughts, and analysis of
sports. However, instead of ranting only to their friends and family, sports
talk radio gave fans the ability to transmit their ideas to a potentially large
audience.
Wanting a voice, sports fans used technology to disseminate
their ideas over the internet. The first of these technologies was sports
messageboard communities. While sports messageboards have never reached
mainstream popularity, they have a solid presence on the net. A quick search
for "baseball messageboards" in Google will return over 8.5 million
hits.
Internet messageboards also represented the first Petri dish
for user-created media. This sentiment is best exemplified by a scandal that
occurred at the beginning of the 2000 season. Bobby Valentine, then the New
York Mets manager, gave a lecture at the Wharton School of Business -- an
"off-the-record" talk. But "off-the-record" is only a term
relevant to journalists. While the ''Daily Pennsylvanian'' (Penn's school
newspaper), gave a perfunctory mention to the speech, one student-attendee went
much further. Brad Rosenberg, using the username brad34, logged onto a Mets
message board and claimed that Bobby V blasted some players and management. The
mainstream media ran with it; then-general manager Steve Phillips hopped on a
plane to Pittsburgh to pow-wow with Valentine; and minor scandal was in the
works.
Today, the phenomenon that started on message boards has
extended to blogs. Over the past two years, blogs have exploded. Everyone (from
grandmas to infants) are starting their own blogs, and not surprisingly a
number of these blogs talk about sports. Blogs provide individuals with the
community of a sports talk radio and potentially infinite world-wide reach. A
powerful combination. Today, there are approximately, 1158 baseball blogs
floating around the internet.
4. Satellite Television
Satellites beam baseball games around the world, fueling
global baseball. While the first satellite television signals were relayed in
the early 1960s, widespread consumer television reception took off in the
1980s. For the first time, geography did not limit the dissemination of moving
pictures. Television's power with no geographic limits translated into new
opportunities for major league baseball.
By the late 1990s, baseball games could be seamlessly and
relatively inexpensively transmitted throughout the globe. This allowed Major
League Baseball to reach into foreign labor and commercial markets, most
notably Japan. Without satellite television, the Seattle Mariners probably
would have passed on MVP outfielder Ichiro Suzuki, the New York Yankees would
have passed on All-Star Hideki Matsui. Satellite television helped transform
regional icons like Ichiro and Matsui into worldwide phenomenon.
Today, if you take a trip to Japan, you might see Hideki
Matsui's at-bat broadcasted in a a Tokyo bar, subway station, or even on the
side of a building. Satellite Television helps baseball remain on the march.
Baseball, Technology, and Players
5. Improved Surgeries
Before 1974, if you were a pitcher and happen to tear your
unlar collaterl ligament in the 'ol elbow, you would be trading in your hat and
spikes for a suit and tie. Dr. Frank Jobe changed the fortunes of hundreds of
future professional pitchers when LA Dodgers pitcher Tommy John asked him to
"make up something" after he was diagnosed with the career-threatening
injury. The procedure, now famously called "Tommy John Surgery" ,
consists of having the ligament in the elbow replaced with a tendon from
elsewhere in the body (often from the forearm, hamstring, or foot). Today,
retirement is not the only ending, as success rate for this type of surgery is
estimated at 85% - 90%. Recovery time is down to about a year for pitchers, and
a half a year for hitters. In fact, pitchers often come back throwing a
few extra MPH on the fastball. Just think, without this procedure, Mariano Rivera,
star closer for the New York Yankees, would not have been able to nail down all
of those post-season victories and 4 recent World Series titles! Yankee
fans everywhere owe you a big thank you Dr. Frank Jobe.
6. Eye Enhancemants
Many professional athletes have gone through a well known
laser eye surgery called LASIK. LASIK, an acronym for Laser-assisted In Situ
Keratomileusis, is a form of refractive laser eye surgery procedure performed
by ophthalmologists intended for correcting vision. Since baseball players rely
heavily on their sight to pick up a 95 MPH fastball whizzing past their noggin,
it makes sense that LASIK has been so important. Jeff Bagwell, Jeff Cirillo,
Jeff Conine, Jose Cruz Jr., Wally Joyner, Greg Maddux, Mark Redman, and Larry
Walker have all reportedly upgraded their vision to 20/15 or better. The
popularly of LASIK surgery has led the Minnesota Twins' medical staff to
diligently educate its players about the benefits and risks of LASIK surgery.
Similarily, a contact lens designed by Bausch and Lomb and
marketed by Nike has been made to aid hitters 사설토토사이트. The lenses are red and filter
out certain shades to allow you to see the seams on a fastball. The quicker the
batter can follow the ball leaving the pitcher's hand, the quicker they can
react to it. Is this any different than steroids?
7. QUESTEC
QuesTec is a digital media company known mostly for its
controversial Umpire Information System (UIS) which is used by Major League
Baseball for the purpose of providing feedback and evaluation of big league
umpires. The company, based out of Deer Park, New York, has been mostly
involved in television replay and graphics throughout its history. In 2001,
however, the company signed a 5-year contract with Major League Baseball to use
its "pitch tracking" technology as a means to review the performance
of home plate umpires during baseball games.
The UIS system consists of 4 cameras placed at strategic
locations around a ballpark that feed into a computer network and records the
locations of pitches throughout the course of a game. Computer software then
generates CDs that umpires and their higher-ups can review and learn from.
These CDs include video of the pitches as well as graphic representations of
their locations plus feedback on the umpires' accuracy.
Controversy over the Umpire Information System surfaced over
the next several years as umpires and players alike voiced concern over the
system's accuracy on one side, and the partial and potentially biased coverage
of major league games on the other. The company installed its cameras and
computers in only 10 of the 30 stadiums around the league. Umpires filed a
grievance with the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) to get rid of the
technology; meanwhile a more hands-on approach was taken by Arizona
Diamondbacks pitcher Curt Schilling. Schilling used a bat to smash one of
QuesTec's field cameras, an act that led to a fine for the former World Series
MVP.
8. Stat Analysis
Over the past few years, several teams throughout Major
League Baseball have changed their approach to running their organization.
Traditionally, players are evaluated by scouts using stats that have been
around for centuries, such as Runs Batted In, Batting Average, and just how
fast a pitcher can throw. The "Moneyball" school of thought (named
after a book by Michael M. Lewis released in 2003 about the general manager of
the Major League Baseball team Oakland Athletics, Billy Beane) believe this
method to be subjective and flawed. Now, General Managers will evaluate their
players directly from their laptops, that crunch all sorts of numbers that are
centered around the ability to not record an out (hey, that is the general
basis of the game, innit?). So who can draft a better ballteam, a Windows XP
machine (with service pack 2 of course - without it will draft all Minnie
Mendoza's) or a scout that has seen millions of innings of baseball over the
last 30+ years?
9. Steroids
We can't have a baseball article without mentioning the
S-Word now can we? Steroids are an invention of modern medicine. German
scientists first developed anabolic steroids in the 1940s, learning to produce
testosterone in a laboratory setting.
Now, two San Francisco Chronicle reporters have written a
book detailing Barry Bonds' steroid use, called ''Game of Shadows'', which goes
into a lot of detail behind everything Bonds did to chemically enhance his
body. Bonds allegedly used every conceivable method of steroid use, including
pills, liquid, creams, and injections (by himself and trainer). His methods
obviously worked (though there was no testing to get around), because Bonds
(now 41 years old) bulked up tremendously over the past 8 years and starting
hitting homers at record paces.
The more that comes out about these players, the more 1995-2004
will be forever known as the "steroid era." We might never know
exactly who took steroids during this time, but everyone will definitely treat
the stats over the last decade with skepticism. Now that MLB has finally
started testing the players, will certain players desperate for that extra edge
try new technologies that can't be detected? Its ironic though. Mark McGwire
and Sammy Sosa practically saved the sport after the 1994 strike by captivating
the fans with their 1998 chase for Roger Maris' home run record of 61. Now,
after numerous congress hearings and a lot of "no comments," their
reputations are completely tarnished due to alleged steroid use. Yet they may
have saved baseball.
Future of Baseball and Technology
10. User Controlled Broadcast
Just this week, Rupert Murdoch, speaking to the Worshipful
Company of Stationers and Newspaper Makers, said: "A new generation of
media consumers has risen demanding content delivered when they want it, how
they want it and very much as they want it." What does this mean for
baseball?
Baseball on demand will continue to develop. Wait, one
minute! Can't I already get baseball on demand? I can buy the MLB Package on
cable tv or can stream every game with MLB.TV. True, but we're talking about
the future here, and the scope of on-demand sports will only broaden over the
next couple of decades.
Don't be surprised if Major League Baseball takes a cue from
video games and starts to give consumers control over how they watch a baseball
game. Imagine the following: you turn on a ballgame and with your remote
control you are given the option of choosing the camera angle you want to view
the game. You want to watch the game from the catchers perspective, click your
remote and you can what a big league slider looks look. Want to watch a play
from an outfielder's perspective? Its your choice, you control how you want to
view the game.
Fans will also be given the opportunity to choose an
announcer. Think Joe Morgan should be fired? Why be forced to listen to his
broadcast? Instead, fans will be given a choice between a wide range of
announcers. Want funny announcers? Click. Want home-town announcers? Want to
hear the game in Russian? Click. Its your call.
Don't be surprised if many of these announcers aren't hired
by a professional sports teams. Instead, these announcers might be your
neighbor, your friend, or even your grandma. The continued growth of podcasting
and the inevitable maturation of podcasting distribution channels will make it
easy for anyone to try their luck out as a professional broadcaster.
11. Information Markets to Predict Gameplay
Information markets aggregate information in an attempt and
appear to be the best tool human's have to predict future events. Building on
the ideas of Friedrich Hayek, various different professions and organizations
have begun using information markets to help them make better decisions. For
example, the Iowa Electronic Markets, TradeSports, and WahlStreet have predict
election outcomes better than opinion polls. Google also uses information
markets forecast product launch dates, new office openings, and many other
things of strategic importance to Google.
How does an information market work? Information markets
aggregate the decisions of individuals and translate those decisions into a
consensus probability that a given future event will occur. For example, at
Google, the company issues stocks for 146 events in 43 different subject areas
(no payment is required to play). Much like a stock market, Google employees
buy and sell these shares reaching a market price--the consensus decision.
Google looks at these market prices when deciding whether to make an important
decision.
The same tool that has helped transform Google to one of the
most powerful companies in the world will eventually be employed by
professional baseball teams to make important baseball decisions. Baseball
teams will use these markets to decide when to promote their a prospect from
AAA to the majors, whether or not they should trade their aging star for a
young prospect.
Just as baseball statistics transformed the operation of
baseball teams in the 1990s and 2000s, information markets will transform the
way baseball organizations operate in the future.
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